RIP F-22 and F-35 (Thanks to This One New Technology)

RIP F-22 and F-35 (Thanks to This One New Technology)

By Sebastien Roblin, The National Interest

In April 2018 it was reported that the Canadian Department of National Defense was investing $2.7 million in research at the University of Waterloo to investigate quantum radar technology. This brings Canada into a technological race in which China apparently has taken the lead.

Though far from being a mature technology, quantum radar might eventually provide a capable means of detecting stealth fighters and bypassing electronic warfare capabilities. While Canada has opted out from acquiring F-35 stealth fighters, the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) operates jointly with the United States and must contend with potential intrusions by new Chinese and Russian stealth aircraft.

Quantum weapons technology may seem to belong more to the realm of Star Trek than a real-world weapon system. However, the tech is real, leveraging the principle of “quantum entanglement.” This is a phenomenon in which conditions affecting one subatomic particle also manifest themselves on an ‘entangled’ partner particle—even, rather uncannily, when they are far apart.

A quantum radar functions by using a crystal to split a photon into two entangled photons. (Reportedly, finding a “fast, on-demand source of entangled photons” is the technical hurdle Canadian researchers are focusing on.) Then the radar beams one half of the entangled pair outwards, and monitors the corresponding effects on their entangled partners. If the beamed particles bump into, say, a stealth fighter, the effect on the beamed photon would be visible on the un-beamed partner photon as well. Then the photons which register a ‘ping’ are sorted out from the unaffected photons to form a sort of radar image.

This radar-like capability would not be susceptible to many of the technique designed to circumvent radio wave reflection—ie, a reduced radar cross section and radar-absorbent materials—and also would not be affected by jamming and other electronic warfare ploys, which play an important role in defeating air defense radars.

Furthermore, the entangled photons would not be detectable—giving detected targets little warning—and would not be traceable back to their source. This means that, unlike a traditional air defense radar, which exposes itself to detection whenever it actively emits radio waves to search for aircraft, a quantum radar does not broadcast its presence and make itself vulnerable to anti-radiation missiles.

However, quantum radars have their limitations; like traditional radars, they degrade in resolution over longer distances. This is because the entangled particles do eventually lose the coherence of their quantum state over long distances, a phenomenon which can worsen in adverse weather.

In September 2016, China claimed its China Electronic Technology Group Corporation (CETC) had developed a working quantum radar with a range of 100 kilometers (sixty-two miles). This was reportedly achieved through the development of highly efficient single-photon detectors (this article has a more detailed technical explanation). It’s worth noting that many commentators are skeptical that the Chinese quantum radar is close to being usable under nonlaboratory conditions.

If the Chinese claims are true, they would be at once impressive—but still short of the capability required of an effective air defense radar. For comparison, the huge 96L6E ‘Cheeseboard’ radar employed by the Russian S-400 surface-to-air missile system has a maximum detection range of around 250 miles, and the Israeli-built Green Pine radar deployed for the air defense of South Korea and India has a range of 310 miles. If the quantum radar can’t be extended to greater range, it’s operational applications would remain relatively narrow.

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By comparison, A joint U.S.-British-Canadian-German project in 2015 reportedly tested a quantum radar with a “potential” range of only twenty kilometers. And in the mid-2000s Lockheed took out a patent for aquantum ‘spooky radar,’ though there has been no new information on the program since 2008. This may either reflect a high degree of secrecy vested in the project, or to the contrary, a lack of meaningful progress.

Quantum Radar and the Single Stealth Jet

China’s announcement predictably inspired some commentators to proclaim the stealth fighter ‘obsolete.’This is unwarranted—not because the quantum radar couldn’t be made to work, but because stealth jets can already be detected using existing technologies.

The reality is that stealth aircraft were never truly ‘invisible’ to radar—they are rather low-observable, furtive enough that they can approach closer to unfriendly radars before being detected and find ways to slip through the weaker points of radar coverage.

Contemporary low-bandwidth radars can detect the general position of stealth aircraft from a great distance. However, these lack the precision to lock weapons on a detected target, so they would instead need to coordinate an ambush by high-bandwidth platforms at short range. Sophisticated new infrared search-and track (IRST) systems mounted on modern fighters offer means to both detect and target stealth aircraft, though again, only within a shorter range envelop—likely under fifty miles.

Development of a viable quantum radar would undoubtedly multiply the means by which stealth aircraft can be detected, and potentially negate the effectiveness of jamming and other electronic warfare ploys. Quantum radar might offer longer-range weapons-grade track, but no one is explicitly claiming such capability at this stage.

Quantum radars might also bring some interesting new capabilities to the table. For one, they would be cable of detecting the material of targets they detect and other properties due to the way beamed particles interact with surfaces they contact. This could allow for much more detailed identification of blips on the radar—helping distinguish between decoys and real fighters or ballistic missiles, and perhaps even detecting whether they are carrying nuclear payloads. Needless, to say, that would have a major implications for missile defense, as national leaders try to decide how to respond to an attack which might be conventional or nuclear in nature.

Another advantage of quantum radar—one which particularly appeals to Canada—is that, unlike conventional radars, they would be unaffected by the electromagnetic phenomena that are common to the arctic, such as auroras and solar flares.

Clearly, quantum radar holds significant potential. However, whether that potential can translate into viable operational systems outside the laboratory remains unclear. If it can, such systems will still likely require decades to develop. Now Canada has joined China and the United States in the race to do so.

Sébastien Roblin holds a Master’s Degree in Conflict Resolution from Georgetown University and served as a university instructor for the Peace Corps in China. He has also worked in education, editing, and refugee resettlement in France and the United States. He currently writes on security and military history for War Is Boring.

This first appeared in The National Interest in May.

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